Let’s go a bit off-book on this one and travel all the way to the land down-under and take a look at a quite promising confrontation for a sport that we do not venture as much as we should. And that’s Australian rules football. So, on April 20 at 3:45 GMT, at Melbourne Cricket Ground, the Collingwood Magpies will try to catch up with their opponents, Port Adelaide Power. And we say catch up, because the winner in an AFL match receives 4 points, which makes it easier to cover an 8-point gap that currently exists between the two sides.
On the rise versus third best
It’s only the 6th round of the championship, however, the visitors have already 4 wins and a single loss to show for their efforts that have brought them to the 3rd place at the table. They are only behind the GWS Giants and the Geelong Cats who are on 5-0 streaks. Ideally, a win on this one will keep them close to the top, hoping for a possible slip-up.Â
On the other hand, the hosts, after losing the first 3 rounds of the competition, have managed to win the last 2, bringing themselves to the 13th spot in the standings. Therefore, they do need to win this one at all costs if they do not want to fall way behind.
In all likelihood, it’s this accomplishment, plus the fact that on the head-to-head comparison, the Magpies have won 3 out of the last 4 encounters with Power, that led to the offers of @1.735 for the home team, and @2.090 for the visitors. The cold numbers say 89% probability for a victory for Collingwood and a 60% for Port Adelaide.
What we suggest
We will not go on the 1X2 market as it is not as lucrative as we would like it to be and too risky. We do not think that the visitors have the full set of what it would take to emerge unscathed from this one. Instead, we will go for something with a greater chance. There have been very few confrontations between the two sides that ended up in a lower total than 170 points. So, we will go for the offer of @1.884 for an over 167. It appears as a «safe» wager with a decent return of the investment.
Now that you have our proposal, it’s time to register for your own Game2Bet account and get the guaranteed best odds that come with it.
